Tuesday, March 15, 2011

The only way the Wisconsin kerfuffle will turn out to be a Pyrrhic victory for the GOP (as the New York Times claims) is if a significant number of voters who would otherwise have voted for the GOP shifts their votes to the Democrats (or, somewhat less damaging to the GOP, stay home and don't vote).

And I've seen nothing that indicates that such groups exist. Sure, government workers are foaming at the mouth, but they were already heavily invested in voting for Democrats. There are probably more GOP-leaning voters amount private sector union workers that the Democrats can convert, but these workers are a bit less outraged (their unhappiness at the GOP's treatment of 'unions' is somewhat tempered by their dislike of the sweetheart treatment government workers have received), so I'm not sure the Democrats can pick up big numbers of converts from this group. And of the other groups who are upset (college students, professional agitators, etc.), they also are among the groups who already heavily vote for Democrats.

On the other side, I can't envision there being a lot of GOP-leaning voters who are going to recoil at what was done. After all, how can one be a GOP-leaning voter and not be in favor of cutting spending? Or of curtailing crony capitalism? Walker and the GOP legislators just did what their supporters wanted... not exactly the type of thing that leads to politicians being punished.